A spatial overview of current flow rates

Below image was posted on Twitter yesterday by Environment’s Agency David Troup. I like it a lot. To me, it gives an instant overview of flow levels across England and Wales. I’d love to have a similar graphic available in the two forecasting systems I use (the Dutch system for Rhine and Meuse, and EFAS, the European Flood Awareness System).

Some thoughts on below picture:

  • I wonder who the target audience for this graphic is. The percentiles are maybe a bit complicated for those not used to it.
  • The colours used are different from what I would use. For my application (flood forecasting), I’d express flooding as red, not black.
  • More and more often, I see observations and forecasts of hydrological variables expressed as relative values to some reference, rather than in absolute values. Here, the baseline is the climatology of flow at the hydrological stations. In the US, forecasts are often expressed relative to “normal”. This development, I think, comes from Anglo-Saxon environments.
  • This overview is well suited if there are not too many stations on the map.
  • The map does not indicate whether these flow levels cause flooding or not. At different locations, flooding may occur at
    different percentiles.
  • If similar graphs were to be used for forecasting, one will quickly run out of available dimensions. Forecasts would require the leadtime dimension to be indicated somehow, and also the uncertainty in the forecast. Edwin Welles -a colleague of mine at Deltares- and I have developed some ideas about this, which I’ll share later.

Again, I think Dave’s map is a great way of showing spatially variable information. Above items should be seen as considerations in case similar graphs were to be implemented in the systems I use.

November 12 update: Dave let me know that these maps are used to show water resources situation. Makes perfect sense!


This entry was posted in Hydrology, Probability forecasting. Bookmark the permalink.

3 Responses to A spatial overview of current flow rates

  1. karima says:

    Very interesting map! It really gives me many ideas .
    Thanks !

  2. Alex Minett says:

    Have you seen the displays We did for the FFC and Sepa (national) systems? These show the warning level per pixel (animated), or the max warning over the whole forecast. We then find the max cell value in warning area polygons, so you can quickly see where thresholds are crossed (the squares are 1km x 1km).

    • Jan says:

      No, I haven’t. Will take a look, though – thanks! In the past, I’ve used animations to overcome the “dimensionality” issue (how to show many dimenions on a screen or piece of paper). I’d not yet thought of the time-aggregated warnings – will definitely have a close look.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s