Category Archives: Forecasting

Our article on statistically post-processing ECMWF weather re-forecasts for use in operational streamflow forecasting

Recently, James Brown, Albrecht Weerts, Paolo Reggiani and myself published a research article on statistically post-processing ECMWF-EPS weather re-forecasts for use in streamflow forecasting. The article’s highlights can be summarized as follows: ECMWF ensemble reforecasts of precipitation and temperature were … Continue reading

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Webinar on ‘pre-processing’ in hydrologic forecasting

Wednesday, March 27th, I’ll be giving a webinar on pre-processing in hydrologic forecasting. The webinar is part of a new series of online presentations that are part of the HEPEX initiative. It is hosted by ECMWF and starts at 4pm … Continue reading

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“Probability Forecast Use – selected experiences” – my talk at FloodRisk2012

This afternoon, at the FloodRisk2012 conference in Rotterdam, I will present on the findings of the Probabilistic Forecast Use project that we’re currently finalising. There is a strong theoretical rationale for using probabilistic rather than deterministic forecasts. Currently, however, there … Continue reading

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“The levee is about to burst”

Last January, water board Noorderzijlvest experienced near-flooding. Large amounts of precipitation coincided with above normal tides. For a few days, the water board was unable to use its pumping stations for drainage, and the polders gradually filled with water. At … Continue reading

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How to make a hydrological forecast – my way

For almost a year now, I’ve been a member of the Dutch River Forecasting Service, which is responsible for monitoring and forecasting of water levels and discharges of rivers Rhine and Meuse. For this, we have a wonderful tool available: … Continue reading

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